TMP

TMP is working on a three-year initiative, funded by the Hewlett Foundation and the Quadrature Climate Foundation, to catalyze opportunities that help to prepare key decision-makers and communities across supply chains for these shocks and their repercussions.

TMP’s work on transition minerals is part of our broader climate change initiative – the Mission Climate Project. The Mission Climate Project draws on unique climate risk modeling to give stakeholders specific information about which climate impacts will be most severe, where and when. It also delivers guidance on opportunities to avoid, mitigate and adapt to these risks at local, national and international levels, preparing key decision-makers for climate impacts in the 2020s.

Project aims

The project aims to support global emissions reductions by ensuring that we have ongoing and expanded access to the raw materials that are needed for rapid decarbonization this decade. It aims to achieve this by principally reducing conflict- and climate-related disruptions to transition mineral supply chains, while improving the impacts of mining and processing operations for local communities, countries and ecosystems.

Our scope is global, but we are focusing initially on 15 countries which are important producers, processors and consumers of transition minerals.

Our approach

In these geographies, we are using our unique information to catalyze convenings with key decision-makers to trigger actions that prepare for climate risks and their interactions with existing challenges. Our project follows a partnership-driven, five-step process:

• 1. Assessments

  We are developing reports, infographics, videos and other tools to communicate how climate risks and connected social, political, economic and/or environmental challenges could disrupt transition mineral supply chains. These assessments help key decision-makers to implement actions and policies that reduce their risk exposure (often by building the resilience of companies, local communities and ecosystems).

• 2. Partnerships

  Partners contribute to our analysis and support our efforts to convene powerful meetings which foster concerted, significant action to address coming challenges. For example, the IBS Center for Climate Physics (ICCP) is helping us develop our near-term climate risk datasets, and we have partnered with Nikkei BP, RUSI, the Atlantic Council and others to host events and workshops.

• 3. Workshops

  We are catalyzing events and workshops across our 15 target countries to initiate pathways to action. We have already co-hosted an event for Japanese businesses with Nikkei BP in Tokyo, as well as a closed-door workshop for public officials and security groups with RUSI in London.

• 4. Readouts

  After events we produce “readouts” – summaries of the workshops which capture key lessons from workshop discussions and any plans of action that were identified or agreed on as a result. The readouts are fed back to any interested workshop participants and form the basis for defining roadmaps for improvement and actions that are aligned across stakeholder groups.

• 5. Actions

  The final phase of our work aims to create traction for a series of positive, urgent actions that address the risks and related issues that are highlighted in our assessments, discussed during the events and captured by the readouts.

Explore TMP’s existing resources on climate risks and opportunities in transition mineral supply chains, by clicking on the links below.

Publication title	Publication date
Escalating Trade Disputes May Threaten Energy Transition	November, 2024
Building Climate Resilience Into Indonesia’s Critical Mineral Supply Chains	September, 2024
Misreading China Could Delay Green Energy Transition	July, 2024
Misreading China Could Delay Green Energy Transition (Abridged)	July, 2024
Building Resilience for Critical Transition Mineral Supply Chains	June, 2024
Cooperation over conflict	May, 2024
Transition Minerals - Background Information	March, 2024
Probable Issues, Potential Solutions	February, 2024
China’s Graphite Export Controls	December, 2023

We would love to hear from you about whether you would like to collaborate on any research and analytical outputs, and/or if there is a piece that you would like to see produced.